Draft Board

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Average draft position from a clearly dated market of real 12-team PPR drafts, overlaid with MustDraft projected value to flag the bargains, and the reaches, before you're on the clock.

Built by MustDraft · every number on this page is explained in the methodology.

Position

Round

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	Bye	ADP	Range	Signal
1.02	Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET	RB	DET	6	1.6	1–3	—	RBPosition DETTeam 6Bye 1–3Range —Signal
1.02	Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL	RB	ATL	11	1.7	1–3	—	RBPosition ATLTeam 11Bye 1–3Range —Signal
1.04	Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN	WR	CIN	6	4	1–7	—	WRPosition CINTeam 6Bye 1–7Range —Signal
1.05	Christian McCaffreyRB · SF	RB	SF	8	4.7	3–6	—	RBPosition SFTeam 8Bye 3–6Range —Signal
1.05	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA	WR	SEA	11	5.4	3–7	—	WRPosition SEATeam 11Bye 3–7Range —Signal
1.07	Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET	WR	DET	6	6.7	4–9	—	WRPosition DETTeam 6Bye 4–9Range —Signal
1.08	Jonathan TaylorRB · IND	RB	IND	13	8.2	4–11	—	RBPosition INDTeam 13Bye 4–11Range —Signal
1.10	De'Von AchaneRB · MIA	RB	MIA	6	9.7	8–12	—	RBPosition MIATeam 6Bye 8–12Range —Signal
1.10	CeeDee LambWR · DAL	WR	DAL	14	10.3	8–12	—	WRPosition DALTeam 14Bye 8–12Range —Signal
1.12	Justin JeffersonWR · MIN	WR	MIN	6	12.2	10–14	—	WRPosition MINTeam 6Bye 10–14Range —Signal
2.01	James CookRB · BUF	RB	BUF	7	12.7	8–17	—	RBPosition BUFTeam 7Bye 8–17Range —Signal
2.01	Derrick HenryRB · BAL	RB	BAL	13	12.8	4–19	—	RBPosition BALTeam 13Bye 4–19Range —Signal
2.01	Chase BrownRB · CIN	RB	CIN	6	13.2	10–16	—	RBPosition CINTeam 6Bye 10–16Range —Signal
2.04	Rashee RiceWR · KC	WR	KC	5	15.5	11–19	Reach	WRPosition KCTeam 5Bye 11–19Range ReachSignal
2.04	George PickensWR · DAL	WR	DAL	14	16.3	13–23	—	WRPosition DALTeam 14Bye 13–23Range —Signal
2.05	A.J. BrownWR · NE	WR	NE	11	16.6	12–20	Reach	WRPosition NETeam 11Bye 12–20Range ReachSignal
2.05	Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI	RB	PHI	10	16.7	10–24	—	RBPosition PHITeam 10Bye 10–24Range —Signal
2.06	Chris OlaveWR · NO	WR	NO	8	17.8	15–19	—	WRPosition NOTeam 8Bye 15–19Range —Signal
2.08	Nico CollinsWR · HOU	WR	HOU	8	20.3	17–26	—	WRPosition HOUTeam 8Bye 17–26Range —Signal
2.10	Ashton JeantyRB · LV	RB	LV	13	22.4	18–26	—	RBPosition LVTeam 13Bye 18–26Range —Signal
2.11	Omarion HamptonRB · LAC	RB	LAC	7	22.7	14–31	—	RBPosition LACTeam 7Bye 14–31Range —Signal
2.11	Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC	RB	KC	5	22.9	18–27	—	RBPosition KCTeam 5Bye 18–27Range —Signal
3.03	DeVonta SmithWR · PHI	WR	PHI	10	26.5	23–32	—	WRPosition PHITeam 10Bye 23–32Range —Signal
3.04	Malik NabersWR · NYG	WR	NYG	8	27.6	24–33	—	WRPosition NYGTeam 8Bye 24–33Range —Signal
3.05	Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL	RB	DAL	14	28.9	21–37	—	RBPosition DALTeam 14Bye 21–37Range —Signal
3.06	Trey McBrideTE · ARI	TE	ARI	14	29.6	14–41	—	TEPosition ARITeam 14Bye 14–41Range —Signal
3.06	Josh AllenQB · BUF	QB	BUF	7	30.1	1–44	—	QBPosition BUFTeam 7Bye 1–44Range —Signal
3.08	Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR	WR	CAR	5	32.3	30–35	—	WRPosition CARTeam 5Bye 30–35Range —Signal
3.08	Emeka EgbukaWR · TB	WR	TB	10	32.4	19–40	—	WRPosition TBTeam 10Bye 19–40Range —Signal
3.10	Tee HigginsWR · CIN	WR	CIN	6	33.5	30–36	—	WRPosition CINTeam 6Bye 30–36Range —Signal
3.10	Brock BowersTE · LV	TE	LV	13	34.4	2–43	—	TEPosition LVTeam 13Bye 2–43Range —Signal
3.11	Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR	RB	LAR	11	34.7	27–37	—	RBPosition LARTeam 11Bye 27–37Range —Signal
3.12	Cam SkatteboRB · NYG	RB	NYG	8	36.2	24–43	—	RBPosition NYGTeam 8Bye 24–43Range —Signal
3.12	Travis EtienneRB · NO	RB	NO	8	36.4	33–41	—	RBPosition NOTeam 8Bye 33–41Range —Signal
4.04	Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC	WR	LAC	7	39.7	30–48	—	WRPosition LACTeam 7Bye 30–48Range —Signal
4.06	D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI	RB	CHI	10	41.5	37–48	Value	RBPosition CHITeam 10Bye 37–48Range ValueSignal
4.10	Jameson WilliamsWR · DET	WR	DET	6	45.8	40–48	—	WRPosition DETTeam 6Bye 40–48Range —Signal
4.10	DJ MooreWR · BUF	WR	BUF	7	46.1	36–58	Reach	WRPosition BUFTeam 7Bye 36–58Range ReachSignal
4.10	Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN	WR	DEN	10	46.4	34–58	—	WRPosition DENTeam 10Bye 34–58Range —Signal
4.11	Terry McLaurinWR · WAS	WR	WAS	7	47.4	37–52	—	WRPosition WASTeam 7Bye 37–52Range —Signal
4.12	Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE	RB	CLE	11	48	27–57	—	RBPosition CLETeam 11Bye 27–57Range —Signal
5.02	Joe BurrowQB · CIN	QB	CIN	6	49.7	41–57	Reach	QBPosition CINTeam 6Bye 41–57Range ReachSignal
5.02	Bucky IrvingRB · TB	RB	TB	10	50	45–54	Value	RBPosition TBTeam 10Bye 45–54Range ValueSignal
5.03	Lamar JacksonQB · BAL	QB	BAL	13	51.2	41–64	—	QBPosition BALTeam 13Bye 41–64Range —Signal
5.06	Mike EvansWR · SF	WR	SF	8	53.7	47–66	—	WRPosition SFTeam 8Bye 47–66Range —Signal
5.06	Christian WatsonWR · GB	WR	GB	11	53.9	42–71	—	WRPosition GBTeam 11Bye 42–71Range —Signal
5.06	David MontgomeryRB · HOU	RB	HOU	8	54.4	46–60	Value	RBPosition HOUTeam 8Bye 46–60Range ValueSignal
5.09	Colston LovelandTE · CHI	TE	CHI	10	57.2	43–67	—	TEPosition CHITeam 10Bye 43–67Range —Signal
5.09	Bhayshul TutenRB · JAX	RB	JAX	7	57.2	52–67	—	RBPosition JAXTeam 7Bye 52–67Range —Signal
5.09	Rome OdunzeWR · CHI	WR	CHI	10	57.4	44–72	—	WRPosition CHITeam 10Bye 44–72Range —Signal
5.12	Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT	RB	PIT	9	60.1	57–64	—	RBPosition PITTeam 9Bye 57–64Range —Signal
6.01	Courtland SuttonWR · DEN	WR	DEN	10	60.6	57–69	Reach	WRPosition DENTeam 10Bye 57–69Range ReachSignal
6.03	Parker WashingtonWR · JAX	WR	JAX	7	62.9	50–70	—	WRPosition JAXTeam 7Bye 50–70Range —Signal
6.04	Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARI	WR	ARI	14	63.7	50–73	—	WRPosition ARITeam 14Bye 50–73Range —Signal
6.06	DK MetcalfWR · PIT	WR	PIT	9	66.2	50–74	—	WRPosition PITTeam 9Bye 50–74Range —Signal
6.06	Tyler WarrenTE · IND	TE	IND	13	66.2	44–85	—	TEPosition INDTeam 13Bye 44–85Range —Signal
6.06	Jadarian PriceRB · SEA	RB	SEA	11	66.2	54–74	—	RBPosition SEATeam 11Bye 54–74Range —Signal
6.07	Tony PollardRB · TEN	RB	TEN	9	66.6	60–79	—	RBPosition TENTeam 9Bye 60–79Range —Signal
6.10	Alec PierceWR · IND	WR	IND	13	70.4	65–78	—	WRPosition INDTeam 13Bye 65–78Range —Signal
7.01	Michael WilsonWR · ARI	WR	ARI	14	73.4	62–80	Reach	WRPosition ARITeam 14Bye 62–80Range ReachSignal
7.03	Jalen HurtsQB · PHI	QB	PHI	10	74.7	64–84	—	QBPosition PHITeam 10Bye 64–84Range —Signal
7.03	Rico DowdleRB · PIT	RB	PIT	9	75	63–87	—	RBPosition PITTeam 9Bye 63–87Range —Signal
7.03	Chuba HubbardRB · CAR	RB	CAR	5	75	65–84	Value	RBPosition CARTeam 5Bye 65–84Range ValueSignal
7.04	Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB	WR	TB	10	76.2	61–90	Reach	WRPosition TBTeam 10Bye 61–90Range ReachSignal
7.05	Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI	QB	CHI	10	76.7	44–98	—	QBPosition CHITeam 10Bye 44–98Range —Signal
7.05	Michael PittmanWR · PIT	WR	PIT	9	77.2	71–85	Reach	WRPosition PITTeam 9Bye 71–85Range ReachSignal
7.07	Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAX	WR	JAX	7	78.5	61–90	—	WRPosition JAXTeam 7Bye 61–90Range —Signal
7.07	Carnell TateWR · TEN	WR	TEN	9	79	71–95	Reach	WRPosition TENTeam 9Bye 71–95Range ReachSignal
7.09	Jayden DanielsQB · WAS	QB	WAS	7	80.6	61–101	—	QBPosition WASTeam 7Bye 61–101Range —Signal
8.01	Jayden ReedWR · GB	WR	GB	11	84.8	67–94	—	WRPosition GBTeam 11Bye 67–94Range —Signal
8.02	J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN	RB	DEN	10	85.9	72–102	Value	RBPosition DENTeam 10Bye 72–102Range ValueSignal
8.03	Denver BroncosDEF · DEN	DEF	DEN	10	86.9	80–92	·	DEFPosition DENTeam 10Bye 80–92Range · not enough dataSignal
8.04	Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN	WR	TEN	9	88.4	65–98	—	WRPosition TENTeam 9Bye 65–98Range —Signal
8.05	Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX	QB	JAX	7	89.2	64–114	—	QBPosition JAXTeam 7Bye 64–114Range —Signal
8.08	RJ HarveyRB · DEN	RB	DEN	10	91.8	73–113	—	RBPosition DENTeam 10Bye 73–113Range —Signal
8.10	Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC	WR	LAC	7	93.8	84–102	Reach	WRPosition LACTeam 7Bye 84–102Range ReachSignal
8.10	Josh DownsWR · IND	WR	IND	13	94.2	77–103	—	WRPosition INDTeam 13Bye 77–103Range —Signal
8.11	Jordan AddisonWR · MIN	WR	MIN	6	94.6	87–108	—	WRPosition MINTeam 6Bye 87–108Range —Signal
8.11	Khalil ShakirWR · BUF	WR	BUF	7	94.7	72–102	Reach	WRPosition BUFTeam 7Bye 72–102Range ReachSignal
8.11	Jonathon BrooksRB · CAR	RB	CAR	5	95.2	73–103	Value	RBPosition CARTeam 5Bye 73–103Range ValueSignal
8.12	Aaron JonesRB · MIN	RB	MIN	6	95.5	73–111	—	RBPosition MINTeam 6Bye 73–111Range —Signal
9.01	Jakobi MeyersWR · JAX	WR	JAX	7	97	96–98	—	WRPosition JAXTeam 7Bye 96–98Range —Signal
9.01	Kenny GainwellRB · TB	RB	TB	10	97.2	85–115	Value	RBPosition TBTeam 10Bye 85–115Range ValueSignal
9.02	Stefon DiggsWR · WAS	WR	WAS	7	97.9	77–108	Reach	WRPosition WASTeam 7Bye 77–108Range ReachSignal
9.04	Los Angeles RamsDEF · LAR	DEF	LAR	11	100.4	81–126	·	DEFPosition LARTeam 11Bye 81–126Range · not enough dataSignal
9.06	Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS	RB	WAS	7	101.7	61–125	—	RBPosition WASTeam 7Bye 61–125Range —Signal
9.06	Xavier WorthyWR · KC	WR	KC	5	102.3	96–109	—	WRPosition KCTeam 5Bye 96–109Range —Signal
9.06	Jared GoffQB · DET	QB	DET	6	102.4	88–118	—	QBPosition DETTeam 6Bye 88–118Range —Signal
9.06	Romeo DoubsWR · NE	WR	NE	11	102.4	90–112	—	WRPosition NETeam 11Bye 90–112Range —Signal
9.12	Patrick MahomesQB · KC	QB	KC	5	107.8	97–117	—	QBPosition KCTeam 5Bye 97–117Range —Signal
10.03	Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF	WR	SF	8	110.6	87–126	Reach	WRPosition SFTeam 8Bye 87–126Range ReachSignal
10.03	Tucker KraftTE · GB	TE	GB	11	110.7	94–147	Value	TEPosition GBTeam 11Bye 94–147Range ValueSignal
10.03	Justin HerbertQB · LAC	QB	LAC	7	111.1	102–119	Value	QBPosition LACTeam 7Bye 102–119Range ValueSignal
10.04	Jordan MasonRB · MIN	RB	MIN	6	112	97–131	Value	RBPosition MINTeam 6Bye 97–131Range ValueSignal
10.05	Dallas GoedertTE · PHI	TE	PHI	10	112.7	78–139	Reach	TEPosition PHITeam 10Bye 78–139Range ReachSignal
10.06	MarShawn LloydRB · GB	RB	GB	11	114.3	78–141	Value	RBPosition GBTeam 11Bye 78–141Range ValueSignal
10.10	Jalen CokerWR · CAR	WR	CAR	5	117.8	112–126	—	WRPosition CARTeam 5Bye 112–126Range —Signal
10.10	KC ConcepcionWR · CLE	WR	CLE	11	118	101–126	—	WRPosition CLETeam 11Bye 101–126Range —Signal
10.10	Bo NixQB · DEN	QB	DEN	10	118.2	115–121	Value	QBPosition DENTeam 10Bye 115–121Range ValueSignal
11.01	Brandon AubreyK · DAL	K	DAL	14	120.9	40–157	·	KPosition DALTeam 14Bye 40–157Range · not enough dataSignal
11.03	Jaxson DartQB · NYG	QB	NYG	8	122.7	98–141	Value	QBPosition NYGTeam 8Bye 98–141Range ValueSignal
11.05	Baker MayfieldQB · TB	QB	TB	10	125.3	120–133	—	QBPosition TBTeam 10Bye 120–133Range —Signal
11.06	Josh JacobsRB · GB	RB	GB	11	126.2	108–145	Value	RBPosition GBTeam 11Bye 108–145Range ValueSignal
11.06	Blake CorumRB · LAR	RB	LAR	11	126.3	97–142	Value	RBPosition LARTeam 11Bye 97–142Range ValueSignal
11.10	Mark AndrewsTE · BAL	TE	BAL	13	129.8	109–148	—	TEPosition BALTeam 13Bye 109–148Range —Signal
11.11	Kyler MurrayQB · MIN	QB	MIN	6	131	109–143	Value	QBPosition MINTeam 6Bye 109–143Range ValueSignal
11.12	Tre TuckerWR · LV	WR	LV	13	132.1	120–145	—	WRPosition LVTeam 13Bye 120–145Range —Signal
12.05	Makai LemonWR · PHI	WR	PHI	10	137	127–143	—	WRPosition PHITeam 10Bye 127–143Range —Signal
12.06	Jacksonville JaguarsDEF · JAX	DEF	JAX	7	137.8	132–149	·	DEFPosition JAXTeam 7Bye 132–149Range · not enough dataSignal
12.11	Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA	RB	SEA	11	143.4	127–164	—	RBPosition SEATeam 11Bye 127–164Range —Signal
12.12	Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG	TE	NYG	8	143.7	117–166	—	TEPosition NYGTeam 8Bye 117–166Range —Signal
13.02	Jake FergusonTE · DAL	TE	DAL	14	146	133–157	—	TEPosition DALTeam 14Bye 133–157Range —Signal
13.04	San Francisco 49ersDEF · SF	DEF	SF	8	147.7	120–169	·	DEFPosition SFTeam 8Bye 120–169Range · not enough dataSignal
13.08	Pittsburgh SteelersDEF · PIT	DEF	PIT	9	151.6	132–172	·	DEFPosition PITTeam 9Bye 132–172Range · not enough dataSignal
13.10	Jauan JenningsWR · MIN	WR	MIN	6	154.4	150–157	—	WRPosition MINTeam 6Bye 150–157Range —Signal
14.04	Kaelon BlackRB · SF	RB	SF	8	160.2	143–169	—	RBPosition SFTeam 8Bye 143–169Range —Signal

Field guide

Using ADP without being used by it

You are two picks away, the player you wanted is gone, and the next name on your list has an ADP of 5.02. That reads round 5, pick 2, a price rather than a ranking. It tells you how long you can safely wait before taking him. Reaching one round early for a player you love costs almost nothing. Reaching three rounds early costs you a real starter.

What the Signal column flags

The board above is average draft position from the real drafts named and dated under the title. A historical label means current coverage is unavailable; the capture date tells you how old that draft market is. The Signal column sets that draft position against our own projected value and flags where the two disagree. A Value tag means the projections rate him a dozen or more spots better than the room is taking him. A Reach tag means the room is a dozen or more spots ahead.

Read the rest

The draft board: average draft position from real 12-team PPR drafts, with each pick's range and a Value or Reach signal against projected value — Clearly dated ADP from real 12-team PPR drafts.

Reading a dash or a dot

Neither tag is a command. The projected value behind them is the points a player adds over a replacement-level starter, the same number behind the Rankings board and Trade Analyzer. Injuries, camp news and your roster shape still matter. A dash (—) means we compared the two and they already roughly agree; a dot (·) means we couldn't compare them at all for that player, missing our value or a market ADP.

The Range column is your panic meter

The Range column (earliest–latest pick) is your panic meter: a tight range means the room agrees and he won't fall; a wide one means you can probably wait a round. Pair this page with the Rankings board, take the same tiers to the table as a printable cheat sheet, and test any pick-for-player swap in the Trade Analyzer. Before you settle a tie between two late picks, check the strength of schedule and bye weeks so two starters don't sit the same week.

If your league carries keepers, run each one through the keeper value calculator before you print anything. A player kept in round three costs a different pick from slot one than from slot 12, and the calculator prices that pick from the same average draft position data as this board.