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Hot Reads · The Rams

Matthew Stafford and the Rams' last big swing

A 38-year-old came off the best passing season of his life, the roster around him is loaded, and there is one signature Los Angeles keeps hoping to see on a contract.

By Adam

Matthew Stafford is 38 years old, and last season he threw for 4,707 yards and 46 touchdowns against 8 interceptions. Read that line again. Not 2011 Stafford, slinging it into triple coverage in Detroit because there was no other plan. This Stafford, the one everybody had half filed away as a bridge to whatever came next, played all 17 games and put up the best touchdown-to-pick season of his career at an age when most quarterbacks are doing television.

The week 16 game against Seattle was the one that made me sit up: 457 yards and 3 touchdowns, in week 16, from a man who has taken as many hits as anyone playing the position. Whatever was left in the tank, it turned out to be a lot more than anyone priced in.

So here is my case, and I am not going to pretend it is a neutral one. I think this Rams team goes far, and I think this is the year they are built for it.

The people he is throwing to

Start with Puka Nacua, because everything in this offense does. His 2025: 129 catches, 1,715 yards, 10 receiving touchdowns, plus 105 yards and another score on the ground because the Rams kept handing him the ball on sweeps just to get it in his hands more. Our numbers had him as the best per-game receiver in football last season, and he is somehow still getting better.

Across from him is Davante Adams, who quietly had one of the strangest and most useful seasons of his career: only 60 catches in 14 games, but 14 of them went for touchdowns. Fourteen. He has become exactly what a 38-year-old quarterback needs, a man who wins in the red zone without the play needing to be perfect.

And behind them, Kyren Williams did what Kyren Williams does: 259 carries, 1,252 yards, 10 touchdowns, and all 17 games for the second year running. The whole conversation about this team is passing numbers, and meanwhile the run game quietly finished among the most dependable in the league.

Nobody in the NFC gets to play a coverage that accounts for all three.

The age question, answered honestly

The case against is one sentence: he is 38, and 38-year-old quarterbacks fall off a cliff without sending a calendar invite first. That is real, and I will not argue my way around it. Eight interceptions over a full season is also the kind of number that tends to regress, because some of those are luck, tipped balls that landed the right way.

But the structure of his season is what convinces me it was not a mirage. He played every week. The Seattle game came in December, not September. And the two years before this one, 3,762 yards and then the leap, read like a quarterback whose protection and weapons finally caught up with him, not one having a last hot flash. When an old quarterback declines, you usually see it in the second half of the season. Stafford's second half is where the best football was.

The name nobody in LA will say too loudly

The roster has one hole, and it is shaped exactly like the man who used to fill it. Aaron Donald is not on this roster. He is not on anyone's roster. And every Rams fan I know, myself included, checks that door every few weeks to see if it has opened.

I want to be straight about what this section is: hope, not reporting. I have no source, no whisper, nothing but the fact that the best defensive player of his era lives in that building's shadow and the team he defined is about to make a real run. If there was ever a season engineered to pull a great player back for one more ride, it is a loaded roster, a 38-year-old quarterback playing the best football of his life, and a January that could go deep. Stranger returns have happened, and every one of them started with a season that looked like this one.

If it stays a dream, the defense still has to hold up its end, and that is the honest swing factor in everything I have written here. The offense is provably elite. The defense is a question I cannot answer from a stat sheet in August.

The schedule does them no favors early

Week 1 is the 49ers, at home. Then the Giants, then at Denver, then at Philadelphia. That opening month is a gauntlet, and I would honestly rather have it that way. A team built around a 38-year-old quarterback does not need a soft launch, it needs to find out fast whether the 2025 version showed up. By the first of October we will know.

My call, since you have read this far: the window is open right now, this season, in a way it has not been since the Super Bowl year. Windows like this close without warning. I think they know it, and I think they play like it.

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