MustDraft
Guides
Longer explanations of how to read the numbers this site shows you, kept separate from the tools themselves. Every one is built on figures from this site rather than from memory, and each says where its numbers came from and when they were read.
Guide
How to read a career stat line
Volume against efficiency, what targets and per game rates actually tell you, rookie rows, ageing, and the things a stat table cannot see.
Guide
Why two sites give the same player different projections
Four forecasters, one player, a sixty-six point gap. What a wide spread tells you that the average of it does not.
Guide
What ADP actually tells you, and what it does not
Where a room is drafting somebody is a fact about drafters, not about players. Where the two come apart, and where they surprisingly do not.
Guide
How a trade gets valued, and why the calculator disagrees with your gut
Value above replacement: why the second player in a two-for-one is worth so much less than his points suggest, and what the tool cannot know.
Guide
What changes in a 14-team league
The same player is worth more, and not evenly. What replacement level actually does between 10, 12 and 14 teams, from this site's own model.